Journal of Zhejiang University

Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE A 2014 Vol.15 No.7 P.517-528

Detangling the impacts of age, residential locations and household lifecycle in car usage and ownership in the Osaka metropolitan area, Japan*

Author(s): Yi-lin Sun¹,Yusak O. Susilo²,E. Owen D. Waygood³,Dian-hai Wang¹
Affiliation(s): 1. 1. Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China more
Corresponding email(s): yilinsun@zju.edu.cn
Key Words: Urban car travel, Family lifecycle, Structural change, Simultaneous equations model system

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Yi-lin Sun, Yusak O. Susilo, E. Owen D. Waygood, Dian-hai Wang. Detangling the impacts of age, residential locations and household lifecycle in car usage and ownership in the Osaka metropolitan area, Japan[J]. Journal of Zhejiang University Science A, 2014, 15(7): 517-528.

@article{title="Detangling the impacts of age, residential locations and household lifecycle in car usage and ownership in the Osaka metropolitan area, Japan",
author="Yi-lin Sun, Yusak O. Susilo, E. Owen D. Waygood, Dian-hai Wang",
journal="Journal of Zhejiang University Science A",
volume="15",
number="7",
pages="517-528",
year="2014",
publisher="Zhejiang University Press & Springer",
doi="10.1631/jzus.A1300345"
}

%0 Journal Article
%T Detangling the impacts of age, residential locations and household lifecycle in car usage and ownership in the Osaka metropolitan area, Japan
%A Yi-lin Sun
%A Yusak O. Susilo
%A E. Owen D. Waygood
%A Dian-hai Wang
%J Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE A
%V 15
%N 7
%P 517-528
%@ 1673-565X
%D 2014
%I Zhejiang University Press & Springer
%DOI 10.1631/jzus.A1300345

TY - JOUR
T1 - Detangling the impacts of age, residential locations and household lifecycle in car usage and ownership in the Osaka metropolitan area, Japan
A1 - Yi-lin Sun
A1 - Yusak O. Susilo
A1 - E. Owen D. Waygood
A1 - Dian-hai Wang
J0 - Journal of Zhejiang University Science A
VL - 15
IS - 7
SP - 517
EP - 528
%@ 1673-565X
Y1 - 2014
PB - Zhejiang University Press & Springer
ER -
DOI - 10.1631/jzus.A1300345

Abstract
Chinese Summary
Academic Network
Reviewer Comment

Abstract: Using large cross-sectional datasets that were collected in the Osaka metropolitan area (OMA), Japan, this study systematically analyzes the structural changes in car ownership and usage in the OMA from 1970 to 2000. A simultaneous equations model system is developed for individuals that considers age, household lifecycle stage, built environment of the household location, car ownership levels, proportion of car trips on a given day, and total car travel duration. The estimation results show that private car ownership and car usage for the residents in OMA have expanded over time. Each residential area, each lifecycle stage, and each age group has their own unique characteristics of car ownership and car usage. The results further indicate that this expansion is largely due to changes in their structural relationships, while the changes in demographic factors play a relatively small and contradictory role.

日本大阪都市圈居民的年龄、居住位置与家庭生命周期对小汽车使用与保有的影响

研究目的：探究城市居民小汽车交通行为变化的原因有多少来自人口统计特性的变化，有多少来自城市结构的改变。
创新要点：考虑家庭成员的生活任务分工以及家庭资源的分配等对每个家庭成员出行方式的影响，构建基于家庭生命周期的小汽车出行行为模型，为控制小汽车出行对策的研究提供准确依据。
研究方法：采用调查与统计理论，掌握居民的出行行为特征；基于经济计量学建模方法，构建居民小汽车出行行为联立方程模型。
重要结论：城市结构关系的改变在抵消了人口统计特性的变化对小汽车交通产生的负面影响之后，小汽车交通总体呈上升趋势。

关键词：城市小汽车交通；家庭生命周期；城市结构变化；联立方程模型